I've been following the hostage release drama in Israel pretty closely lately. I have a friend who lived in Israel for many years who has been deeply and emotionally engaged in this sad drama. If not for her, it might have largely escaped my attention. That would have been unfortunate. A big focus of my concentration yesterday (Friday, February 21, 2025) was on the Bibas family. You may not recognize the name, but I can assure you, every soul in Israel knows them. The father, Yarden Bibas, who along with his family, was taken hostage on October 7, 2023, survived the ordeal. He was released three weeks ago. Then yesterday, along with one live hostage, Hamas released the bodies of the two Bibas children and their mother Shiri Bibas. Or did they? As it turned out, it wasn't Shiri's body in the third black box. It was some unidentified Gazan woman. After much uproar, Hamas, claiming an honest error, has now released the remains of Shiri Bibas. The MSM here in the US covered the initial release...a bit. But Twitter was on fire about it due to the callous and celebratory atmosphere created/exhibited/stage managed by Hamas during the turnover. I have no choice but to turn to curated sources on Twitter for news on this subject so important to the people of Israel. I don't think the western media can be trusted to do justice to this story.
My friend and I have had much different outlooks on the hostage situation. She's been much more emotionally engaged in it than I have been. The Israeli people equally so, as far as I can tell. That's OK. I get it. As for myself, from the very beginning, I considered every hostage, whether still alive or not, to be as good as dead already. That's been my point of view since October 7. I may have missed an important consideration. To be certain, my point of view is the better tactical assessment. Disregarding the hostages would have cleared the way for more decisive kinetic action. Consider this scene from the film Speed. But strategic and political considerations suggest the current Israeli plan of action regarding the hostages will yield the better overall outcome in the end. Progress on the battlefield is important, but Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu must be concerned with progress on the propaganda front as well, and this week, Israel won the propaganda battle, and it may turn out to be the most decisive battle of the war.
My more narrow, less well informed argument perhaps, goes like this. How many soldiers should die or how many terrorists should be released in order to save a hostage. It reminds me of the moral dilemma portrayed in Saving Private Ryan. How many soldiers in that squad died to save that one guy? Were their lives any less valuable than Ryan's? Yes, Ryan's mother had suffered much grief, and it was a noble concern to try and spare her further suffering. But what about the collective grief of all the other families whose loved ones died to save Ryan? I know Bibi has political issues which must be considered, but in the end, negotiating for hostages validates Hamas' belief that hostage taking works. If I was a hostage or a family member, I'd be grateful for the government's desire to save me or my loved one, but tactically speaking, it has been an impediment to victory over Hamas.
But tactical considerations are not always the most important concerns in warfare. Certainly Netanyahu understood this better than I did. Yes, Hamas' behavior was atrocious. Cruel and disrespectful. The parade, the cheering, and ultimately, returning the wrong body mis-identified as the children's mother Shiri. Hamas claims it was in error. Bullshit! Disgusting! But in the end, it was a gift to Israel! Twitter account @HamasAtrocities summed it up best.
Keep on doing these macabre shows when releasing the hostages! Ironically, despite the masks, you are showing the world your true faces. Cowardly, inhumane, cruel and hopeless!
That day we didn't just witness yet one more act of cruelty. We witnessed a battle in the propaganda war. A decisive battle. Maybe even a turning point in the war. A battle in which Hamas shot themselves in the foot. One day in the future, God willing, we may be able to look back and say, this was the day that Hamas sealed their own fate and ensured their ultimate destruction. And if this comes to pass, and Hamas is no more, they will have been defeated by a four year old toddler named Ariel, his nine month old infant brother, Kfir, and their mother Shiri.
Hamas may have gotten some propaganda value with their supporters who approved of this barbarism, but Israel got value as well out of Hamas' displaying to the world just how disgusting their ideology is. In the end, I think the balance falls in favor of Israel. But to be honest, I've thought that since October 7, 2023. Nothing Israel has done since that day has impacted my views as much as the bloodlust and barbarity Hamas displayed when it began this latest conflict. I don't care how effective Hamas' propaganda machine may be on others. In my view, there will be no justice in the world until Hamas has been destroyed, and if Hamas has decided to martyr all of Gaza in the process, then that is on them, not on Israel.
If there were any people on the fence about this conflict before this latest hostage display, I feel certain that more of them have shifted to support for Israel than have shifted to support for Hamas. More importantly, If there were any Israelis still advocating for restraint in Gaza, and there were many, their numbers have certainly dwindled to near zero after what Hamas has done this week. Every adversary in a struggle such as this uses propaganda. Israel is no different. It is a critical tool for any entity engaged in a conflict, be that entity a state actor or an insurgency. Israel has all the advantages in every other aspect of warfare, but in the propaganda realm, Israel and Hamas have been peer rivals. I would be reluctant to believe on face value anything said by either side. But I'd go so far as to say that up until now, in the propaganda realm, Hamas has had the upper hand; the greater capability. But they made a huge mistake this time. They totally fucked up with this display of arrogance and bloodlust. Israel got the better outcome in this battle. I hope and believe it will be sufficient to decisively turn sentiment worldwide in favor of Israel where I think it should have been all along based solely on the horror of October 7.
The propaganda war has become the most important aspect of the battle in Gaza right now. In the kinetic war, the Israelis have always had the clear advantage. With Trump in the White House, only more so. And now, largely thanks again to Trump, they have the diplomatic advantage as well. Arab leaders met in Saudi Arabia Friday to discuss their own peace plan for Gaza. That only happened because Trump proposed that HE would take Gaza for himself. If not for that, the Arabs would have been happy just to sit on their hands and let the whole situation fester. Only out of fear that Trump would unleash Bibi, and then come in afterwards to take the "spoils of war" did they feel compelled to act.
The story hasn't reached a conclusion yet, but I can't help but feel the tide has turned. As awful as the Bibas tragedy has been, I hope it will prove to have been decisive in a just outcome for Israel. Time will tell.